The Weather4Cast competition (hosted by NeurIPS 2022) required competitors to predict super-resolution rain movies in various regions of Europe when low-resolution satellite contexts covering wider regions are given. In this paper, we show that a general baseline 3D U-Net can be significantly improved with region-conditioned layers as well as orthogonality regularizations on 1x1x1 convolutional layers. Additionally, we facilitate the generalization with a bag of training strategies: mixup data augmentation, self-distillation, and feature-wise linear modulation (FiLM). Presented modifications outperform the baseline algorithms (3D U-Net) by up to 19.54% with less than 1% additional parameters, which won the 4th place in the core test leaderboard.
translated by 谷歌翻译
Accurate and timely rain prediction is crucial for decision making and is also a challenging task. This paper presents a solution which won the 2 nd prize in the Weather4cast 2022 NeurIPS competition using 3D U-Nets and EarthFormers for 8-hour probabilistic rain prediction based on multi-band satellite images. The spatial context effect of the input satellite image has been deeply explored and optimal context range has been found. Based on the imbalanced rain distribution, we trained multiple models with different loss functions. To further improve the model performance, multi-model ensemble and threshold optimization were used to produce the final probabilistic rain prediction. Experiment results and leaderboard scores demonstrate that optimal spatial context, combined loss function, multi-model ensemble, and threshold optimization all provide modest model gain. A permutation test was used to analyze the effect of each satellite band on rain prediction, and results show that satellite bands signifying cloudtop phase (8.7 um) and cloud-top height (10.8 and 13.4 um) are the best predictors for rain prediction. The source code is available at https://github.com/bugsuse/weather4cast-2022-stage2.
translated by 谷歌翻译
降水预测是一项重要的科学挑战,对社会产生广泛影响。从历史上看,这项挑战是使用数值天气预测(NWP)模型解决的,该模型基于基于物理的模拟。最近,许多作品提出了一种替代方法,使用端到端深度学习(DL)模型来替代基于物理的NWP。尽管这些DL方法显示出提高的性能和计算效率,但它们在长期预测中表现出局限性,并且缺乏NWP模型的解释性。在这项工作中,我们提出了一个混合NWP-DL工作流程,以填补独立NWP和DL方法之间的空白。在此工作流程下,NWP输出被馈入深层模型,该模型后处理数据以产生精致的降水预测。使用自动气象站(AWS)观测值作为地面真相标签,对深层模型进行了监督训练。这可以实现两全其美,甚至可以从NWP技术的未来改进中受益。为了促进朝这个方向进行研究,我们提出了一个专注于朝鲜半岛的新型数据集,该数据集称为KOMET(KOMEN(KOREA气象数据集),由NWP预测和AWS观察组成。对于NWP,我们使用全局数据同化和预测系统-KOREA集成模型(GDAPS-KIM)。
translated by 谷歌翻译
This paper presents a solution to the Weather4cast 2022 Challenge Stage 2. The goal of the challenge is to forecast future high-resolution rainfall events obtained from ground radar using low-resolution multiband satellite images. We suggest a solution that performs data preprocessing appropriate to the challenge and then predicts rainfall movies using a novel RainUNet. RainUNet is a hierarchical U-shaped network with temporal-wise separable block (TS block) using a decoupled large kernel 3D convolution to improve the prediction performance. Various evaluation metrics show that our solution is effective compared to the baseline method. The source codes are available at https://github.com/jinyxp/Weather4cast-2022
translated by 谷歌翻译
Accurately forecasting the weather is an important task, as many real-world processes and decisions depend on future meteorological conditions. The NeurIPS 2022 challenge entitled Weather4cast poses the problem of predicting rainfall events for the next eight hours given the preceding hour of satellite observations as a context. Motivated by the recent success of transformer-based architectures in computer vision, we implement and propose two methodologies based on this architecture to tackle this challenge. We find that ensembling different transformers with some baseline models achieves the best performance we could measure on the unseen test data. Our approach has been ranked 3rd in the competition.
translated by 谷歌翻译
Climate change is expected to intensify and increase extreme events in the weather cycle. Since this has a significant impact on various sectors of our life, recent works are concerned with identifying and predicting such extreme events from Earth observations. This paper proposes a 2D/3D two-branch convolutional neural network (CNN) for wildfire danger forecasting. To use a unified framework, previous approaches duplicate static variables along the time dimension and neglect the intrinsic differences between static and dynamic variables. Furthermore, most existing multi-branch architectures lose the interconnections between the branches during the feature learning stage. To address these issues, we propose a two-branch architecture with a Location-aware Adaptive Denormalization layer (LOADE). Using LOADE as a building block, we can modulate the dynamic features conditional on their geographical location. Thus, our approach considers feature properties as a unified yet compound 2D/3D model. Besides, we propose using an absolute temporal encoding for time-related forecasting problems. Our experimental results show a better performance of our approach than other baselines on the challenging FireCube dataset.
translated by 谷歌翻译
Traditional weather forecasting relies on domain expertise and computationally intensive numerical simulation systems. Recently, with the development of a data-driven approach, weather forecasting based on deep learning has been receiving attention. Deep learning-based weather forecasting has made stunning progress, from various backbone studies using CNN, RNN, and Transformer to training strategies using weather observations datasets with auxiliary inputs. All of this progress has contributed to the field of weather forecasting; however, many elements and complex structures of deep learning models prevent us from reaching physical interpretations. This paper proposes a SImple baseline with a spatiotemporal context Aggregation Network (SIANet) that achieved state-of-the-art in 4 parts of 5 benchmarks of W4C22. This simple but efficient structure uses only satellite images and CNNs in an end-to-end fashion without using a multi-model ensemble or fine-tuning. This simplicity of SIANet can be used as a solid baseline that can be easily applied in weather forecasting using deep learning.
translated by 谷歌翻译
太阳能现在是历史上最便宜的电力形式。不幸的是,由于其变异性,显着提高栅格的太阳能的一部分仍然具有挑战性,这使得电力的供需平衡更加困难。虽然热发电机坡度 - 它们可以改变输出的最高速率 - 是有限的,太阳能的坡度基本上是无限的。因此,准确的近期太阳能预测或垂圈,对于提供预警来调整热发电机输出,以响应于太阳能变化来调整热发电机,以确保平衡供需。为了解决问题,本文开发了使用自我监督学习的丰富和易于使用的多光谱卫星数据的太阳能垂圈的一般模型。具体而言,我们使用卷积神经网络(CNN)和长短期内存网络(LSTM)开发深度自动回归模型,这些模型在多个位置训练全球培训,以预测最近推出的最近收集的时空数据的未来观察-R系列卫星。我们的模型估计了基于卫星观测的未来的太阳辐照度,我们向较小的场地特定的太阳能数据培训的回归模型提供,以提供近期太阳能光伏(PV)预测,其考虑了现场特征的特征。我们评估了我们在25个太阳能场所的不同覆盖区域和预测视野的方法,并表明我们的方法利用地面真理观察结果产生靠近模型的错误。
translated by 谷歌翻译
由于其对人类生命,运输,粮食生产和能源管理的高度影响,因此在科学上研究了预测天气的问题。目前的运营预测模型基于物理学,并使用超级计算机来模拟大气预测,提前预测数小时和日期。更好的基于物理的预测需要改进模型本身,这可能是一个实质性的科学挑战,以及潜在的分辨率的改进,可以计算令人望而却步。基于神经网络的新出现的天气模型代表天气预报的范式转变:模型学习来自数据的所需变换,而不是依赖于手工编码的物理,并计算效率。然而,对于神经模型,每个额外的辐射时间都会构成大量挑战,因为它需要捕获更大的空间环境并增加预测的不确定性。在这项工作中,我们提出了一个神经网络,能够提前十二小时的大规模降水预测,并且从相同的大气状态开始,该模型能够比最先进的基于物理的模型更高的技能HRRR和HREF目前在美国大陆运营。可解释性分析加强了模型学会模拟先进物理原则的观察。这些结果代表了建立与神经网络有效预测的新范式的实质性步骤。
translated by 谷歌翻译
Human civilization has an increasingly powerful influence on the earth system. Affected by climate change and land-use change, natural disasters such as flooding have been increasing in recent years. Earth observations are an invaluable source for assessing and mitigating negative impacts. Detecting changes from Earth observation data is one way to monitor the possible impact. Effective and reliable Change Detection (CD) methods can help in identifying the risk of disaster events at an early stage. In this work, we propose a novel unsupervised CD method on time series Synthetic Aperture Radar~(SAR) data. Our proposed method is a probabilistic model trained with unsupervised learning techniques, reconstruction, and contrastive learning. The change map is generated with the help of the distribution difference between pre-incident and post-incident data. Our proposed CD model is evaluated on flood detection data. We verified the efficacy of our model on 8 different flood sites, including three recent flood events from Copernicus Emergency Management Services and six from the Sen1Floods11 dataset. Our proposed model achieved an average of 64.53\% Intersection Over Union(IoU) value and 75.43\% F1 score. Our achieved IoU score is approximately 6-27\% and F1 score is approximately 7-22\% better than the compared unsupervised and supervised existing CD methods. The results and extensive discussion presented in the study show the effectiveness of the proposed unsupervised CD method.
translated by 谷歌翻译
该卷包含来自机器学习挑战的选定贡献“发现玛雅人的奥秘”,该挑战在欧洲机器学习和数据库中知识发现的欧洲挑战赛曲目(ECML PKDD 2021)中提出。遥感大大加速了古代玛雅人森林地区的传统考古景观调查。典型的探索和发现尝试,除了关注整个古老的城市外,还集中在单个建筑物和结构上。最近,已经成功地尝试了使用机器学习来识别古代玛雅人定居点。这些尝试虽然相关,但却集中在狭窄的区域上,并依靠高质量的空中激光扫描(ALS)数据,该数据仅涵盖古代玛雅人曾经定居的地区的一小部分。另一方面,由欧洲航天局(ESA)哨兵任务制作的卫星图像数据很丰富,更重要的是公开。旨在通过执行不同类型的卫星图像(Sentinel-1和Sentinel-2和ALS)的集成图像细分来定位和识别古老的Maya架构(建筑物,Aguadas和平台)的“发现和识别古代玛雅体系结构(建筑物,Aguadas和平台)的挑战的“发现和识别古老的玛雅体系结构(建筑物,阿吉达斯和平台)的“发现玛雅的奥秘”的挑战, (LIDAR)数据。
translated by 谷歌翻译
在过去的十年中,基于深度学习的算法在遥感图像分析的不同领域中广泛流行。最近,最初在自然语言处理中引入的基于变形金刚的体系结构遍布计算机视觉领域,在该字段中,自我发挥的机制已被用作替代流行的卷积操作员来捕获长期依赖性。受到计算机视觉的最新进展的启发,遥感社区还见证了对各种任务的视觉变压器的探索。尽管许多调查都集中在计算机视觉中的变压器上,但据我们所知,我们是第一个对基于遥感中变压器的最新进展进行系统评价的人。我们的调查涵盖了60多种基于变形金刚的60多种方法,用于遥感子方面的不同遥感问题:非常高分辨率(VHR),高光谱(HSI)和合成孔径雷达(SAR)图像。我们通过讨论遥感中变压器的不同挑战和开放问题来结束调查。此外,我们打算在遥感论文中频繁更新和维护最新的变压器,及其各自的代码:https://github.com/virobo-15/transformer-in-in-remote-sensing
translated by 谷歌翻译
深度神经网络在短期交通预测中表现出卓越的性能。然而,大多数现有的流量预测系统假设培训和测试数据是从相同的底层分布中汲取,这限制了它们的实际适用性。Neurips 2021 Traffic4cast挑战是专门用于基准测试空间和时间在域移位的流量预测模型的稳健性的首先。本技术报告描述了我们对此挑战的解决方案。特别是,我们为交通预测模型的时间和时空域改编提供了一个多任务学习框架。实验结果表明,我们的多任务学习方法实现了强大的经验性能,优于许多基线域适应方法,同时仍然高效。此技术报告的源代码可在https://github.com/yichaolu/traffic4cast2021获得。
translated by 谷歌翻译
这里介绍了人工智能研究所(IARAI)组织的2022年Landslide4sense(L4S)竞赛的科学结果。竞争的目的是根据全球收集的卫星图像的大规模多个来源自动检测滑坡。 2022 L4S旨在促进有关使用卫星图像的语义分割任务的深度学习模型(DL)模型最新发展的跨学科研究。在过去的几年中,由于卷积神经网络(CNN)的发展,基于DL的模型已经达到了对图像解释的期望。本文的主要目的是介绍本次比赛中介绍的细节和表现最佳的算法。获胜的解决方案详细介绍了Swin Transformer,Segformer和U-NET等最先进的模型。还考虑了先进的机器学习技术和诸如硬采矿,自我培训和混合数据增强之类的策略。此外,我们描述了L4S基准数据集,以促进进一步的比较,并在线报告准确性评估的结果。可以在\ textIt {未来开发排行榜上访问数据,以供将来评估,\ url {https://www.iarai.ac.ac.at/landslide4sense/challenge/},并邀请研究人员提交更多预测结果,评估准确性在他们的方法中,将它们与其他用户的方法进行比较,理想情况下,改善了本文报告的滑坡检测结果。
translated by 谷歌翻译
The 1$^{\text{st}}$ Workshop on Maritime Computer Vision (MaCVi) 2023 focused on maritime computer vision for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) and Unmanned Surface Vehicle (USV), and organized several subchallenges in this domain: (i) UAV-based Maritime Object Detection, (ii) UAV-based Maritime Object Tracking, (iii) USV-based Maritime Obstacle Segmentation and (iv) USV-based Maritime Obstacle Detection. The subchallenges were based on the SeaDronesSee and MODS benchmarks. This report summarizes the main findings of the individual subchallenges and introduces a new benchmark, called SeaDronesSee Object Detection v2, which extends the previous benchmark by including more classes and footage. We provide statistical and qualitative analyses, and assess trends in the best-performing methodologies of over 130 submissions. The methods are summarized in the appendix. The datasets, evaluation code and the leaderboard are publicly available at https://seadronessee.cs.uni-tuebingen.de/macvi.
translated by 谷歌翻译
能量供应和需求受到气象条件的影响。随着对可再生能源的需求增加,精确天气预报的相关性增加。能源提供者和决策者要求天气信息进行明智的选择,并根据业务目标建立最佳计划。由于最近应用于卫星图像的深度学习技术,使用遥感数据的天气预报也是主要进步的主题。本文通过基于U-Net的架构调查了荷兰沿海海洋元素的多个步骤框架预测。来自哥白尼观察计划的每小时数据在2年内跨过跨越2年的时间,用于培训模型并进行预测,包括季节性预测。我们提出了U-Net架构的变化,并使用剩余连接,并行卷积和不对称卷积进一步扩展了这一新颖模型,以便引入三种额外的架构。特别是,我们表明,配备有平行和不对称卷积的架构以及跳过连接优于其他三个讨论的模型。
translated by 谷歌翻译
本文介绍了Dahitra,这是一种具有分层变压器的新型深度学习模型,可在飓风后根据卫星图像对建筑物的损害进行分类。自动化的建筑损害评估为决策和资源分配提供了关键信息,以快速应急响应。卫星图像提供了实时,高覆盖的信息,并提供了向大规模污点后建筑物损失评估提供信息的机会。此外,深入学习方法已证明在对建筑物的损害进行分类方面有希望。在这项工作中,提出了一个基于变压器的新型网络来评估建筑物的损失。该网络利用多个分辨率的层次空间特征,并在将变压器编码器应用于空间特征后捕获特征域的时间差异。当对大规模灾难损坏数据集(XBD)进行测试以构建本地化和损坏分类以及在Levir-CD数据集上进行更改检测任务时,该网络将实现最先进的绩效。此外,我们引入了一个新的高分辨率卫星图像数据集,IDA-BD(与2021年路易斯安那州的2021年飓风IDA有关,以便域名适应以进一步评估该模型的能力,以适用于新损坏的区域。域的适应结果表明,所提出的模型可以适应一个新事件,只有有限的微调。因此,所提出的模型通过更好的性能和域的适应来推进艺术的当前状态。此外,IDA-BD也提供了A高分辨率注释的数据集用于该领域的未来研究。
translated by 谷歌翻译
Solar forecasting from ground-based sky images using deep learning models has shown great promise in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. One of the biggest challenges for training deep learning models is the availability of labeled datasets. With more and more sky image datasets open sourced in recent years, the development of accurate and reliable solar forecasting methods has seen a huge growth in potential. In this study, we explore three different training strategies for deep-learning-based solar forecasting models by leveraging three heterogeneous datasets collected around the world with drastically different climate patterns. Specifically, we compare the performance of models trained individually based on local datasets (local models) and models trained jointly based on the fusion of multiple datasets from different locations (global models), and we further examine the knowledge transfer from pre-trained solar forecasting models to a new dataset of interest (transfer learning models). The results suggest that the local models work well when deployed locally, but significant errors are observed for the scale of the prediction when applied offsite. The global model can adapt well to individual locations, while the possible increase in training efforts need to be taken into account. Pre-training models on a large and diversified source dataset and transferring to a local target dataset generally achieves superior performance over the other two training strategies. Transfer learning brings the most benefits when there are limited local data. With 80% less training data, it can achieve 1% improvement over the local baseline model trained using the entire dataset. Therefore, we call on the efforts from the solar forecasting community to contribute to a global dataset containing a massive amount of imagery and displaying diversified samples with a range of sky conditions.
translated by 谷歌翻译
我们对最近的自我和半监督ML技术进行严格的评估,从而利用未标记的数据来改善下游任务绩效,以河床分割的三个遥感任务,陆地覆盖映射和洪水映射。这些方法对于遥感任务特别有价值,因为易于访问未标记的图像,并获得地面真理标签通常可以昂贵。当未标记的图像(标记数据集之外)提供培训时,我们量化性能改进可以对这些遥感分割任务进行期望。我们还设计实验以测试这些技术的有效性,当测试集相对于训练和验证集具有域移位时。
translated by 谷歌翻译
作物现场边界有助于映射作物类型,预测产量,并向农民提供现场级分析。近年来,已经看到深深学习的成功应用于划定工业农业系统中的现场边界,但由于(1)需要高分辨率卫星图像的小型字段来解除界限和(2)缺乏(2)缺乏用于模型培训和验证的地面标签。在这项工作中,我们结合了转移学习和弱监督来克服这些挑战,我们展示了在印度的成功方法,我们有效地产生了10,000个新的场地标签。我们最好的型号使用1.5亿分辨率的空中客车现货图像作为投入,预先列进法国界限的最先进的神经网络,以及印度标签上的微调,以实现0.86的联盟(iou)中位数交叉口在印度。如果使用4.8M分辨率的行星扫描图像,最好的模型可以实现0.72的中位数。实验还表明,法国的预训练减少了所需的印度现场标签的数量,以便在数据集较小时尽可能多地实现给定的性能水平。这些发现表明我们的方法是划定当前缺乏现场边界数据集的世界区域中的裁剪领域的可扩展方法。我们公开发布了10,000个标签和描绘模型,以方便社区创建现场边界地图和新方法。
translated by 谷歌翻译