贝叶斯变量选择方法是适合和推断稀疏高维线性回归模型的强大技术。但是,许多在计算密集型上或需要对模型参数进行限制性的先验分布。基于可能性的惩罚方法在计算方面更友好,但是推理需要资源密集型的改装技术。在本文中,我们提出了一种有效而强大的贝叶斯方法,用于稀疏高维线性回归。通过使用插件的经验贝叶斯估算超参数的估计值,需要对参数的最小化假设。有效的最大后验概率(MAP)估计是通过使用分区和扩展期望最大化(ECM)算法完成的。结果是应用于稀疏高维线性回归的经验贝叶斯ECM(探针)算法。我们提出了估计未来价值预测的可靠和预测间隔的方法。我们将预测的经验特性和我们的预测推断与可比方法进行了比较,并通过大量的模拟研究和对癌细胞系药物反应研究的分析进行了比较。提出的方法在R软件包探针中实现。
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State-of-the-art causal discovery methods usually assume that the observational data is complete. However, the missing data problem is pervasive in many practical scenarios such as clinical trials, economics, and biology. One straightforward way to address the missing data problem is first to impute the data using off-the-shelf imputation methods and then apply existing causal discovery methods. However, such a two-step method may suffer from suboptimality, as the imputation algorithm may introduce bias for modeling the underlying data distribution. In this paper, we develop a general method, which we call MissDAG, to perform causal discovery from data with incomplete observations. Focusing mainly on the assumptions of ignorable missingness and the identifiable additive noise models (ANMs), MissDAG maximizes the expected likelihood of the visible part of observations under the expectation-maximization (EM) framework. In the E-step, in cases where computing the posterior distributions of parameters in closed-form is not feasible, Monte Carlo EM is leveraged to approximate the likelihood. In the M-step, MissDAG leverages the density transformation to model the noise distributions with simpler and specific formulations by virtue of the ANMs and uses a likelihood-based causal discovery algorithm with directed acyclic graph constraint. We demonstrate the flexibility of MissDAG for incorporating various causal discovery algorithms and its efficacy through extensive simulations and real data experiments.
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因果发现旨在从观察数据中学习因果图。迄今为止,大多数因果发现方法需要将数据存储在中央服务器中。但是,数据所有者逐渐拒绝分享他们的个性化数据以避免隐私泄漏,使这项任务通过切断第一步来更加麻烦。出现拼图:$ \ texit {如何从分散数据的原因关系推断出来自分散数据的因果关系?} $本文,具有数据的添加性噪声模型假设,我们参加了开发基于渐变的学习框架命名为DAG共享的渐变学习框架联邦因果发现(DS-FCD),可以在不直接触摸本地数据的情况下学习因果图,并自然地处理数据异质性。 DS-FCD受益于每个本地模型的两级结构。第一级别学习因果图并与服务器通信以获取来自其他客户端的模型信息,而第二级别近似于因果机制,并且从其自身的数据逐步更新以适应数据异质性。此外,DS-FCD通过利用平等的非循环性约束,将整体学习任务制定为连续优化问题,这可以通过梯度下降方法自然地解决。对合成和现实世界数据集的广泛实验验证了所提出的方法的功效。
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概率主成分分析(PPCA)是高斯潜在变量模型的框架下主成分分析(PCA)的概率重构。为了提高PPCA的稳健性,已经提出将潜在的高斯分布改变为多元$ T $-DRIBIRATIONS。基于$ T $的表示,作为高斯分布的规模混合,分层模型用于实施。然而,在现有文献中,实现的分层模型不会产生等同的解释。在本文中,我们在高级多元$ T $ -PPCA框架和用于实现的层次模型之间存在两组等效关系。在这样做时,我们通过指定正确的对应来阐明文献中的当前歪曲。此外,我们讨论了理论和仿真研究的不同多元$ T $鲁棒PPCA方法的性能,并提出了一种新颖的蒙特卡罗期望 - 最大化(MCEM)算法,实现了一种常规类型的这种模型。
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We consider the task of text generation in language models with constraints specified in natural language. To this end, we first create a challenging benchmark Cognac that provides as input to the model a topic with example text, along with a constraint on text to be avoided. Unlike prior work, our benchmark contains knowledge-intensive constraints sourced from databases like Wordnet and Wikidata, which allows for straightforward evaluation while striking a balance between broad attribute-level and narrow lexical-level controls. We find that even state-of-the-art language models like GPT-3 fail often on this task, and propose a solution to leverage a language model's own internal knowledge to guide generation. Our method, called CognacGen, first queries the language model to generate guidance terms for a specified topic or constraint, and uses the guidance to modify the model's token generation probabilities. We propose three forms of guidance (binary verifier, top-k tokens, textual example), and employ prefix-tuning approaches to distill the guidance to tackle diverse natural language constraints. Through extensive empirical evaluations, we demonstrate that CognacGen can successfully generalize to unseen instructions and outperform competitive baselines in generating constraint conforming text.
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We test grip strength and shock absorption properties of various granular material in granular jamming robotic components. The granular material comprises a range of natural, manufactured, and 3D printed material encompassing a wide range of shapes, sizes, and Shore hardness. Two main experiments are considered, both representing compelling use cases for granular jamming in soft robotics. The first experiment measures grip strength (retention force measured in Newtons) when we fill a latex balloon with the chosen grain type and use it as a granular jamming gripper to pick up a range of test objects. The second experiment measures shock absorption properties recorded by an Inertial Measurement Unit which is suspended in an envelope of granular material and dropped from a set height. Our results highlight a range of shape, size and softness effects, including that grain deformability is a key determinant of grip strength, and interestingly, that larger grain sizes in 3D printed grains create better shock absorbing materials.
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Granular jamming has recently become popular in soft robotics with widespread applications including industrial gripping, surgical robotics and haptics. Previous work has investigated the use of various techniques that exploit the nature of granular physics to improve jamming performance, however this is generally underrepresented in the literature compared to its potential impact. We present the first research that exploits vibration-based fluidisation actively (e.g., during a grip) to elicit bespoke performance from granular jamming grippers. We augment a conventional universal gripper with a computer-controllled audio exciter, which is attached to the gripper via a 3D printed mount, and build an automated test rig to allow large-scale data collection to explore the effects of active vibration. We show that vibration in soft jamming grippers can improve holding strength. In a series of studies, we show that frequency and amplitude of the waveforms are key determinants to performance, and that jamming performance is also dependent on temporal properties of the induced waveform. We hope to encourage further study focused on active vibrational control of jamming in soft robotics to improve performance and increase diversity of potential applications.
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Fruit harvesting has recently experienced a shift towards soft grippers that possess compliance, adaptability, and delicacy. In this context, pneumatic grippers are popular, due to provision of high deformability and compliance, however they typically possess limited grip strength. Jamming possesses strong grip capability, however has limited deformability and often requires the object to be pushed onto a surface to attain a grip. This paper describes a hybrid gripper combining pneumatics (for deformation) and jamming (for grip strength). Our gripper utilises a torus (donut) structure with two chambers controlled by pneumatic and vacuum pressure respectively, to conform around a target object. The gripper displays good adaptability, exploiting pneumatics to mould to the shape of the target object where jamming can be successfully harnessed to grip. The main contribution of the paper is design, fabrication, and characterisation of the first hybrid gripper that can use granular jamming in free space, achieving significantly larger retention forces compared to pure pneumatics. We test our gripper on a range of different sizes and shapes, as well as picking a broad range of real fruit.
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Human operators in human-robot teams are commonly perceived to be critical for mission success. To explore the direct and perceived impact of operator input on task success and team performance, 16 real-world missions (10 hrs) were conducted based on the DARPA Subterranean Challenge. These missions were to deploy a heterogeneous team of robots for a search task to locate and identify artifacts such as climbing rope, drills and mannequins representing human survivors. Two conditions were evaluated: human operators that could control the robot team with state-of-the-art autonomy (Human-Robot Team) compared to autonomous missions without human operator input (Robot-Autonomy). Human-Robot Teams were often in directed autonomy mode (70% of mission time), found more items, traversed more distance, covered more unique ground, and had a higher time between safety-related events. Human-Robot Teams were faster at finding the first artifact, but slower to respond to information from the robot team. In routine conditions, scores were comparable for artifacts, distance, and coverage. Reasons for intervention included creating waypoints to prioritise high-yield areas, and to navigate through error-prone spaces. After observing robot autonomy, operators reported increases in robot competency and trust, but that robot behaviour was not always transparent and understandable, even after high mission performance.
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This paper describes important considerations and challenges associated with online reinforcement-learning based waveform selection for target identification in frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) automotive radar systems. We present a novel learning approach based on satisficing Thompson sampling, which quickly identifies a waveform expected to yield satisfactory classification performance. We demonstrate through measurement-level simulations that effective waveform selection strategies can be quickly learned, even in cases where the radar must select from a large catalog of candidate waveforms. The radar learns to adaptively select a bandwidth for appropriate resolution and a slow-time unimodular code for interference mitigation in the scene of interest by optimizing an expected classification metric.
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