矢量值随机变量的矩序列可以表征其定律。我们通过使用所谓的稳健签名矩来研究路径值随机变量(即随机过程)的类似问题。这使我们能够为随机过程定律得出最大平均差异类型的度量,并研究其在随机过程定律方面引起的拓扑。可以使用签名内核对该度量进行内核,从而有效地计算它。作为应用程序,我们为随机过程定律提供了非参数的两样本假设检验。
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最大平均差异(MMD)(例如内核Stein差异(KSD))已成为广泛应用的中心,包括假设测试,采样器选择,分布近似和变异推断。在每种情况下,这些基于内核的差异度量都需要(i)(i)将目标p与其他概率度量分开,甚至(ii)控制弱收敛到P。在本文中,我们得出了新的足够和必要的条件,以确保(i) (ii)。对于可分开的度量空间上的MMD,我们表征了那些将BOCHNER嵌入量度分开的内核,并引入了简单条件,以将所有措施用无限的内核分开,并控制与有界内核的收敛。我们在$ \ mathbb {r}^d $上使用这些结果来实质性地扩大了KSD分离和收敛控制的已知条件,并开发了已知的第一个KSD,以恰好将弱收敛到P。我们的假设检验,测量和改善样本质量以及用Stein变异梯度下降进行抽样的结果。
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We propose a framework for analyzing and comparing distributions, which we use to construct statistical tests to determine if two samples are drawn from different distributions. Our test statistic is the largest difference in expectations over functions in the unit ball of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), and is called the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD). We present two distributionfree tests based on large deviation bounds for the MMD, and a third test based on the asymptotic distribution of this statistic. The MMD can be computed in quadratic time, although efficient linear time approximations are available. Our statistic is an instance of an integral probability metric, and various classical metrics on distributions are obtained when alternative function classes are used in place of an RKHS. We apply our two-sample tests to a variety of problems, including attribute matching for databases using the Hungarian marriage method, where they perform strongly. Excellent performance is also obtained when comparing distributions over graphs, for which these are the first such tests.
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概率分布之间的差异措施,通常被称为统计距离,在概率理论,统计和机器学习中普遍存在。为了在估计这些距离的距离时,对维度的诅咒,最近的工作已经提出了通过带有高斯内核的卷积在测量的分布中平滑局部不规则性。通过该框架的可扩展性至高维度,我们研究了高斯平滑$ P $ -wassersein距离$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $的结构和统计行为,用于任意$ p \ GEQ 1 $。在建立$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $的基本度量和拓扑属性之后,我们探索$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)}(\ hat {\ mu} _n,\ mu)$,其中$ \ hat {\ mu} _n $是$ n $独立观察的实证分布$ \ mu $。我们证明$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $享受$ n ^ { - 1/2} $的参数经验融合速率,这对比$ n ^ { - 1 / d} $率对于未平滑的$ \ mathsf {w} _p $ why $ d \ geq 3 $。我们的证明依赖于控制$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $ by $ p $ th-sting spoollow sobolev restion $ \ mathsf {d} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $并导出限制$ \ sqrt {n} \,\ mathsf {d} _p ^ {(\ sigma)}(\ hat {\ mu} _n,\ mu)$,适用于所有尺寸$ d $。作为应用程序,我们提供了使用$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $的两个样本测试和最小距离估计的渐近保证,使用$ p = 2 $的实验使用$ \ mathsf {d} _2 ^ {(\ sigma)} $。
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我们在非标准空间上介绍了积极的确定核的新类别,这些空间完全是严格的确定性或特征。特别是,我们讨论了可分离的希尔伯特空间上的径向内核,并在Banach空间和强型负类型的度量空间上引入了广泛的内核。一般结果用于在可分离的$ l^p $空间和一组措施上提供明确的核类。
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内核Stein差异(KSD)是一种基于内核的广泛使用概率指标之间差异的非参数量度。它通常在用户从候选概率度量中收集的样本集合的情况下使用,并希望将它们与指定的目标概率度量进行比较。 KSD的一个有用属性是,它可以仅从候选度量的样本中计算出来,并且不知道目标度量的正常化常数。 KSD已用于一系列设置,包括合适的测试,参数推断,MCMC输出评估和生成建模。当前KSD方法论的两个主要问题是(i)超出有限维度欧几里得环境之外的适用性以及(ii)缺乏影响KSD性能的清晰度。本文提供了KSD的新频谱表示,这两种补救措施都使KSD适用于希尔伯特(Hilbert)评估数据,并揭示了内核和Stein oterator Choice对KSD的影响。我们通过在许多合成数据实验中对各种高斯和非高斯功能模型进行拟合优度测试来证明所提出的方法的功效。
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本文通过引入几何深度学习(GDL)框架来构建通用馈电型型模型与可区分的流形几何形状兼容的通用馈电型模型,从而解决了对非欧国人数据进行处理的需求。我们表明,我们的GDL模型可以在受控最大直径的紧凑型组上均匀地近似任何连续目标函数。我们在近似GDL模型的深度上获得了最大直径和上限的曲率依赖性下限。相反,我们发现任何两个非分类紧凑型歧管之间始终都有连续的函数,任何“局部定义”的GDL模型都不能均匀地近似。我们的最后一个主要结果确定了数据依赖性条件,确保实施我们近似的GDL模型破坏了“维度的诅咒”。我们发现,任何“现实世界”(即有限)数据集始终满足我们的状况,相反,如果目标函数平滑,则任何数据集都满足我们的要求。作为应用,我们确认了以下GDL模型的通用近似功能:Ganea等。 (2018)的双波利馈电网络,实施Krishnan等人的体系结构。 (2015年)的深卡尔曼 - 滤波器和深度玛克斯分类器。我们构建了:Meyer等人的SPD-Matrix回归剂的通用扩展/变体。 (2011)和Fletcher(2003)的Procrustean回归剂。在欧几里得的环境中,我们的结果暗示了Kidger和Lyons(2020)的近似定理和Yarotsky和Zhevnerchuk(2019)无估计近似率的数据依赖性版本的定量版本。
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We consider autocovariance operators of a stationary stochastic process on a Polish space that is embedded into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate how empirical estimates of these operators converge along realizations of the process under various conditions. In particular, we examine ergodic and strongly mixing processes and obtain several asymptotic results as well as finite sample error bounds. We provide applications of our theory in terms of consistency results for kernel PCA with dependent data and the conditional mean embedding of transition probabilities. Finally, we use our approach to examine the nonparametric estimation of Markov transition operators and highlight how our theory can give a consistency analysis for a large family of spectral analysis methods including kernel-based dynamic mode decomposition.
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比较概率分布是许多机器学习算法的关键。最大平均差异(MMD)和最佳运输距离(OT)是在过去几年吸引丰富的关注的概率措施之间的两类距离。本文建立了一些条件,可以通过MMD规范控制Wassersein距离。我们的作品受到压缩统计学习(CSL)理论的推动,资源有效的大规模学习的一般框架,其中训练数据总结在单个向量(称为草图)中,该训练数据捕获与所考虑的学习任务相关的信息。在CSL中的现有结果启发,我们介绍了H \“较旧的较低限制的等距属性(H \”较旧的LRIP)并表明这家属性具有有趣的保证对压缩统计学习。基于MMD与Wassersein距离之间的关系,我们通过引入和研究学习任务的Wassersein可读性的概念来提供压缩统计学习的保证,即概率分布之间的某些特定于特定的特定度量,可以由Wassersein界定距离。
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基于内核的测试提供了一个简单而有效的框架,该框架使用繁殖内核希尔伯特空间的理论设计非参数测试程序。在本文中,我们提出了新的理论工具,可用于在几种数据方案以及许多不同的测试问题中研究基于内核测试的渐近行为。与当前的方法不同,我们的方法避免使用冗长的$ u $和$ v $统计信息扩展并限制定理,该定理通常出现在文献中,并直接与希尔伯特空格上的随机功能合作。因此,我们的框架会导致对内核测试的简单明了的分析,只需要轻度的规律条件。此外,我们表明,通常可以通过证明我们方法所需的规律条件既足够又需要进行必要的规律条件来改进我们的分析。为了说明我们的方法的有效性,我们为有条件的独立性测试问题提供了一项新的内核测试,以及针对已知的基于内核测试的新分析。
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我们提出了一种统一的技术,用于顺序估计分布之间的凸面分歧,包括内核最大差异等积分概率度量,$ \ varphi $ - 像Kullback-Leibler发散,以及最佳运输成本,例如Wassersein距离的权力。这是通过观察到经验凸起分歧(部分有序)反向半角分离的实现来实现的,而可交换过滤耦合,其具有这些方法的最大不等式。这些技术似乎是对置信度序列和凸分流的现有文献的互补和强大的补充。我们构建一个离线到顺序设备,将各种现有的离线浓度不等式转换为可以连续监测的时间均匀置信序列,在任意停止时间提供有效的测试或置信区间。得到的顺序边界仅在相应的固定时间范围内支付迭代对数价格,保留对问题参数的相同依赖性(如适用的尺寸或字母大小)。这些结果也适用于更一般的凸起功能,如负差分熵,实证过程的高度和V型统计。
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Several problems in stochastic analysis are defined through their geometry, and preserving that geometric structure is essential to generating meaningful predictions. Nevertheless, how to design principled deep learning (DL) models capable of encoding these geometric structures remains largely unknown. We address this open problem by introducing a universal causal geometric DL framework in which the user specifies a suitable pair of geometries $\mathscr{X}$ and $\mathscr{Y}$ and our framework returns a DL model capable of causally approximating any ``regular'' map sending time series in $\mathscr{X}^{\mathbb{Z}}$ to time series in $\mathscr{Y}^{\mathbb{Z}}$ while respecting their forward flow of information throughout time. Suitable geometries on $\mathscr{Y}$ include various (adapted) Wasserstein spaces arising in optimal stopping problems, a variety of statistical manifolds describing the conditional distribution of continuous-time finite state Markov chains, and all Fr\'echet spaces admitting a Schauder basis, e.g. as in classical finance. Suitable, $\mathscr{X}$ are any compact subset of any Euclidean space. Our results all quantitatively express the number of parameters needed for our DL model to achieve a given approximation error as a function of the target map's regularity and the geometric structure both of $\mathscr{X}$ and of $\mathscr{Y}$. Even when omitting any temporal structure, our universal approximation theorems are the first guarantees that H\"older functions, defined between such $\mathscr{X}$ and $\mathscr{Y}$ can be approximated by DL models.
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神经网络的经典发展主要集中在有限维欧基德空间或有限组之间的学习映射。我们提出了神经网络的概括,以学习映射无限尺寸函数空间之间的运算符。我们通过一类线性积分运算符和非线性激活函数的组成制定运营商的近似,使得组合的操作员可以近似复杂的非线性运算符。我们证明了我们建筑的普遍近似定理。此外,我们介绍了四类运算符参数化:基于图形的运算符,低秩运算符,基于多极图形的运算符和傅里叶运算符,并描述了每个用于用每个计算的高效算法。所提出的神经运营商是决议不变的:它们在底层函数空间的不同离散化之间共享相同的网络参数,并且可以用于零击超分辨率。在数值上,与现有的基于机器学习的方法,达西流程和Navier-Stokes方程相比,所提出的模型显示出卓越的性能,而与传统的PDE求解器相比,与现有的基于机器学习的方法有关的基于机器学习的方法。
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We introduce and study a novel model-selection strategy for Bayesian learning, based on optimal transport, along with its associated predictive posterior law: the Wasserstein population barycenter of the posterior law over models. We first show how this estimator, termed Bayesian Wasserstein barycenter (BWB), arises naturally in a general, parameter-free Bayesian model-selection framework, when the considered Bayesian risk is the Wasserstein distance. Examples are given, illustrating how the BWB extends some classic parametric and non-parametric selection strategies. Furthermore, we also provide explicit conditions granting the existence and statistical consistency of the BWB, and discuss some of its general and specific properties, providing insights into its advantages compared to usual choices, such as the model average estimator. Finally, we illustrate how this estimator can be computed using the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm in Wasserstein space introduced in a companion paper arXiv:2201.04232v2 [math.OC], and provide a numerical example for experimental validation of the proposed method.
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The kernel Maximum Mean Discrepancy~(MMD) is a popular multivariate distance metric between distributions that has found utility in two-sample testing. The usual kernel-MMD test statistic is a degenerate U-statistic under the null, and thus it has an intractable limiting distribution. Hence, to design a level-$\alpha$ test, one usually selects the rejection threshold as the $(1-\alpha)$-quantile of the permutation distribution. The resulting nonparametric test has finite-sample validity but suffers from large computational cost, since every permutation takes quadratic time. We propose the cross-MMD, a new quadratic-time MMD test statistic based on sample-splitting and studentization. We prove that under mild assumptions, the cross-MMD has a limiting standard Gaussian distribution under the null. Importantly, we also show that the resulting test is consistent against any fixed alternative, and when using the Gaussian kernel, it has minimax rate-optimal power against local alternatives. For large sample sizes, our new cross-MMD provides a significant speedup over the MMD, for only a slight loss in power.
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本文介绍了一种新的基于仿真的推理程序,以对访问I.I.D. \ samples的多维概率分布进行建模和样本,从而规避明确建模密度函数或设计Markov Chain Monte Carlo的通常方法。我们提出了一个称为可逆的Gromov-monge(RGM)距离的新概念的距离和同构的动机,并研究了RGM如何用于设计新的转换样本,以执行基于模拟的推断。我们的RGM采样器还可以估计两个异质度量度量空间之间的最佳对齐$(\ cx,\ mu,c _ {\ cx})$和$(\ cy,\ cy,\ nu,c _ {\ cy})$从经验数据集中,估计的地图大约将一个量度$ \ mu $推向另一个$ \ nu $,反之亦然。我们研究了RGM距离的分析特性,并在轻度条件下得出RGM等于经典的Gromov-Wasserstein距离。奇怪的是,与Brenier的两极分解结合了连接,我们表明RGM采样器以$ C _ {\ cx} $和$ C _ {\ cy} $的正确选择诱导了强度同构的偏见。研究了有关诱导采样器的收敛,表示和优化问题的统计率。还展示了展示RGM采样器有效性的合成和现实示例。
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Classical asymptotic theory for statistical inference usually involves calibrating a statistic by fixing the dimension $d$ while letting the sample size $n$ increase to infinity. Recently, much effort has been dedicated towards understanding how these methods behave in high-dimensional settings, where $d$ and $n$ both increase to infinity together. This often leads to different inference procedures, depending on the assumptions about the dimensionality, leaving the practitioner in a bind: given a dataset with 100 samples in 20 dimensions, should they calibrate by assuming $n \gg d$, or $d/n \approx 0.2$? This paper considers the goal of dimension-agnostic inference; developing methods whose validity does not depend on any assumption on $d$ versus $n$. We introduce an approach that uses variational representations of existing test statistics along with sample splitting and self-normalization to produce a new test statistic with a Gaussian limiting distribution, regardless of how $d$ scales with $n$. The resulting statistic can be viewed as a careful modification of degenerate U-statistics, dropping diagonal blocks and retaining off-diagonal blocks. We exemplify our technique for some classical problems including one-sample mean and covariance testing, and show that our tests have minimax rate-optimal power against appropriate local alternatives. In most settings, our cross U-statistic matches the high-dimensional power of the corresponding (degenerate) U-statistic up to a $\sqrt{2}$ factor.
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数据保真项和加性正则化功能的最小化为监督学习带来了强大的框架。在本文中,我们提出了一个统一的正则功能,该功能取决于操作员和通用的ra域标准。我们确定了最小化器的存在,并在非常温和的假设下给出了溶液的参数形式。当规范是希尔伯特人时,提出的配方会产生涉及径向基础功能的解决方案,并且与机器学习的经典方法兼容。相比之下,对于总差异规范,解决方案采用具有正则化运算符确定的激活函数的两层神经网络的形式。特别是,我们通过让操作员成为拉普拉斯(Laplacian)来检索流行的Relu网络。我们还表征了中间正规化规范的解决方案$ \ | \ cdot \ | = \ | \ | \ cdot \ | _ {l_p} $ at(1,2] $。我们的框架提供了保证通用近似值的保证广泛的正规化操作员家庭或等同于各种浅层神经网络,包括激活函数在多项式上增加的病例(例如Relu)。它还解释了偏见和跳过连接在神经建筑中的有利作用。
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随机过程是随机变量,其中一些路径中的值。然而,将随机过程降低到路径值随机变量忽略其过滤,即通过时间通过该过程携带的信息流。通过调节其过滤过程,我们介绍了一系列高阶内核eMbeddings(KMES),概括了KME的概念,并捕获了与过滤有关的附加信息。我们导出了相关的高阶最大均衡(MMD)的经验估计器,并证明了一致性。然后,我们构建一个过滤敏感的内核两种样本测试,能够拾取标准MMD测试错过的信息。此外,利用我们的更高阶MMDS,我们在随机过程中构建了一个通用内核的家庭,允许通过经典内核的回归方法解决现实世界校准和最佳停止问题(例如美国选项的定价)。最后,调整对随机过程的情况的条件独立性的现有测试,我们设计了一种因果发现算法,以恢复与其多维轨迹的观察相互作用的结构依赖性的因果关系。
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在包括生成建模的各种机器学习应用中的两个概率措施中,已经证明了切片分歧的想法是成功的,并且包括计算两种测量的一维随机投影之间的“基地分歧”的预期值。然而,这种技术的拓扑,统计和计算后果尚未完整地确定。在本文中,我们的目标是弥合这种差距并导出切片概率分歧的各种理论特性。首先,我们表明切片保留了公制公理和分歧的弱连续性,这意味着切片分歧将共享相似的拓扑性质。然后,我们在基本发散属于积分概率度量类别的情况下精确结果。另一方面,我们在轻度条件下建立了切片分歧的样本复杂性并不依赖于问题尺寸。我们终于将一般结果应用于几个基地分歧,并说明了我们对合成和实际数据实验的理论。
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