近年来，深度学习的显着进步主要是由于规模的改进而驱动，在该规模上，更大的模型在较大的数据集上进行了更长的时间表的培训。为了从经验上预测规模的好处，我们主张基于外推损失的更严格的方法，而不是报告最合适的（插值）参数。然后，我们提出了一种从学习曲线可靠地估算缩放定律参数的配方。我们证明，除了来自大型基础评估基准的任务外，除了大型域中，包括图像分类，神经机器翻译（NMT）和语言建模，包括图像分类，神经机器翻译（NMT）和语言建模，它比以前的方法更准确地推断出更准确的方法。最后，我们发布了一个由90个评估任务组成的基准数据集，以促进该领域的研究。

We present a smoothly broken power law functional form that accurately models and extrapolates the scaling behaviors of deep neural networks (i.e. how the evaluation metric of interest varies as the amount of compute used for training, number of model parameters, training dataset size, or upstream performance varies) for each task within a large and diverse set of upstream and downstream tasks, in zero-shot, prompted, and fine-tuned settings. This set includes large-scale vision and unsupervised language tasks, diffusion generative modeling of images, arithmetic, and reinforcement learning. When compared to other functional forms for neural scaling behavior, this functional form yields extrapolations of scaling behavior that are considerably more accurate on this set. Moreover, this functional form accurately models and extrapolates scaling behavior that other functional forms are incapable of expressing such as the non-monotonic transitions present in the scaling behavior of phenomena such as double descent and the delayed, sharp inflection points present in the scaling behavior of tasks such as arithmetic. Lastly, we use this functional form to glean insights about the limit of the predictability of scaling behavior. Code is available at https://github.com/ethancaballero/broken_neural_scaling_laws

基于注意力的神经网络（例如Vision Transformer（VIT））最近在许多计算机视觉基准上获得了最新结果。尺度是获得出色结果的主要成分，因此，了解模型的缩放属性是有效设计子孙后代的关键。尽管已经研究了用于扩展变压器语言模型的法律，但视觉变压器如何扩展是未知的。为了解决这个问题，我们将VIT模型和数据扩展到上下，并表征错误率，数据和计算之间的关系。在此过程中，我们完善了VIT的体系结构和培训，减少了记忆消耗并提高了所得模型的准确性。结果，我们成功地训练了具有20亿个参数的VIT模型，该模型达到了90.45％TOP-1准确性的新最先进。该模型在几次转移中也表现良好，例如，ImageNet上的Top-1精度达到了84.86％，每个类别仅10个示例。

Learning curves provide insight into the dependence of a learner's generalization performance on the training set size. This important tool can be used for model selection, to predict the effect of more training data, and to reduce the computational complexity of model training and hyperparameter tuning. This review recounts the origins of the term, provides a formal definition of the learning curve, and briefly covers basics such as its estimation. Our main contribution is a comprehensive overview of the literature regarding the shape of learning curves. We discuss empirical and theoretical evidence that supports well-behaved curves that often have the shape of a power law or an exponential. We consider the learning curves of Gaussian processes, the complex shapes they can display, and the factors influencing them. We draw specific attention to examples of learning curves that are ill-behaved, showing worse learning performance with more training data. To wrap up, we point out various open problems that warrant deeper empirical and theoretical investigation. All in all, our review underscores that learning curves are surprisingly diverse and no universal model can be identified.

给定一个较小的培训数据集和学习算法，要达到目标验证或测试性能需要多少数据？这个问题至关重要，在诸如自动驾驶或医学成像之类的应用中，收集数据昂贵且耗时。高估或低估数据需求会带来大量费用，而预算可以避免。关于神经缩放定律的先前工作表明，幂律函数可以符合验证性能曲线并将其推断为较大的数据集大小。我们发现，这并不能立即转化为估计所需数据集大小以满足目标性能的更困难的下游任务。在这项工作中，我们考虑了一系列的计算机视觉任务，并系统地研究了一个概括功能功能的功能家族，以便更好地估算数据需求。最后，我们表明，结合调整的校正因子并在多个回合中收集会显着提高数据估计器的性能。使用我们的准则，从业人员可以准确估算机器学习系统的数据要求，以节省开发时间和数据采集成本。

Scaling up neural networks has led to remarkable performance across a wide range of tasks. Moreover, performance often follows reliable scaling laws as a function of training set size, model size, and compute, which offers valuable guidance as large-scale experiments are becoming increasingly expensive. However, previous work on scaling laws has primarily used private data \& models or focused on uni-modal language or vision learning. To address these limitations, we investigate scaling laws for contrastive language-image pre-training (CLIP) with the public LAION dataset and the open-source OpenCLIP repository. Our large-scale experiments involve models trained on up to two billion image-text pairs and identify power law scaling for multiple downstream tasks including zero-shot classification, retrieval, linear probing, and end-to-end fine-tuning. We find that the training distribution plays a key role in scaling laws as the OpenAI and OpenCLIP models exhibit different scaling behavior despite identical model architectures and similar training recipes. We open-source our evaluation workflow and all models, including the largest public CLIP models, to ensure reproducibility and make scaling laws research more accessible. Source code and instructions to reproduce this study will be available at https://github.com/LAION-AI/scaling-laws-openclip

深度神经网络端对端训练有素，将（嘈杂）图像映射到干净的图像的测量值非常适合各种线性反问题。当前的方法仅在数百或数千张图像上进行训练，而不是在其他领域进行了数百万个示例。在这项工作中，我们研究是否可以通过扩大训练组规模来获得重大的性能提高。我们考虑图像降解，加速磁共振成像以及超分辨率，并在经验上确定重建质量是训练集大小的函数，同时最佳地扩展了网络大小。对于所有三个任务，我们发现最初陡峭的幂律缩放率已经在适度的训练集大小上大大减慢。插值这些缩放定律表明，即使对数百万图像进行培训也不会显着提高性能。为了了解预期的行为，我们分析表征了以早期梯度下降学到的线性估计器的性能。结果正式的直觉是，一旦通过学习信号模型引起的误差，相对于误差地板，更多的训练示例不会提高性能。

We show that a variety of modern deep learning tasks exhibit a "double-descent" phenomenon where, as we increase model size, performance first gets worse and then gets better. Moreover, we show that double descent occurs not just as a function of model size, but also as a function of the number of training epochs. We unify the above phenomena by defining a new complexity measure we call the effective model complexity and conjecture a generalized double descent with respect to this measure. Furthermore, our notion of model complexity allows us to identify certain regimes where increasing (even quadrupling) the number of train samples actually hurts test performance. * Work performed in part while Preetum Nakkiran was interning at OpenAI, with Ilya Sutskever. We especially thank Mikhail Belkin and Christopher Olah for helpful discussions throughout this work.

在我们与正在使用当今汽车系统的领域专家合作的经验中，我们遇到的一个常见问题是我们所说的“不切实际的期望” - 当用户通过嘈杂的数据获取过程面临非常具有挑战性的任务时，同时被期望实现机器学习（ML）的精度非常高。其中许多是从一开始就失败的。在传统的软件工程中，通过可行性研究解决了此问题，这是开发任何软件系统之前必不可少的一步。在本文中，我们介绍了Snoopy，目的是支持数据科学家和机器学习工程师在构建ML应用之前进行系统和理论上建立的可行性研究。我们通过估计基本任务的不可还原错误（也称为贝叶斯错误率（BER））来解决此问题，这源于用于训练或评估ML模型工件的数据集中的数据质量问题。我们设计了一个实用的贝叶斯误差估计器，该估计值与计算机视觉和自然语言处理中的6个数据集（具有不同级别的其他实际和合成噪声）上的基线可行性研究候选者进行了比较。此外，通过将我们的系统可行性研究和其他信号包括在迭代标签清洁过程中，我们在端到端实验中证明了用户如何能够节省大量的标签时间和货币努力。

State-of-the-art computer vision systems are trained to predict a fixed set of predetermined object categories. This restricted form of supervision limits their generality and usability since additional labeled data is needed to specify any other visual concept. Learning directly from raw text about images is a promising alternative which leverages a much broader source of supervision. We demonstrate that the simple pre-training task of predicting which caption goes with which image is an efficient and scalable way to learn SOTA image representations from scratch on a dataset of 400 million (image, text) pairs collected from the internet. After pre-training, natural language is used to reference learned visual concepts (or describe new ones) enabling zero-shot transfer of the model to downstream tasks. We study the performance of this approach by benchmarking on over 30 different existing computer vision datasets, spanning tasks such as OCR, action recognition in videos, geo-localization, and many types of fine-grained object classification. The model transfers non-trivially to most tasks and is often competitive with a fully supervised baseline without the need for any dataset specific training. For instance, we match the accuracy of the original ResNet-50 on ImageNet zero-shot without needing to use any of the 1.28 million training examples it was trained on. We release our code and pre-trained model weights at https://github.com/OpenAI/CLIP.

Scaling up language models has led to unprecedented performance gains, but little is understood about how the training dynamics change as models get larger. How do language models of different sizes learn during pre-training? Why do larger language models demonstrate more desirable behaviors? In this paper, we analyze the intermediate training checkpoints of differently sized OPT models (Zhang et al.,2022)--from 125M to 175B parameters--on next-token prediction, sequence-level generation, and downstream tasks. We find that 1) at a given perplexity and independent of model sizes, a similar subset of training tokens see the most significant reduction in loss, with the rest stagnating or showing double-descent behavior; 2) early in training, all models learn to reduce the perplexity of grammatical sequences that contain hallucinations, with small models halting at this suboptimal distribution and larger ones eventually learning to assign these sequences lower probabilities; 3) perplexity is a strong predictor of in-context learning performance on 74 multiple-choice tasks from BIG-Bench, and this holds independent of the model size. Together, these results show that perplexity is more predictive of model behaviors than model size or training computation.

鉴于大型语言模型的广泛能力，应该有可能朝着一般的文本的助手工作，这些助手与人类价值一致，这意味着它是有帮助，诚实的和无害的。在此方向上的初始遗传，我们研究简单的基线技术和评估，例如提示。我们发现，从模型规模增加适度的干预措施的好处，概括为各种对准评估，并不会损害大型模型的性能。接下来，我们调查与对齐，比较仿制，二进制歧视和排名偏好建模相关的几个培训目标的缩放趋势。我们发现排名优先级模型比模仿学习更好地表现得多，并且通常以模型大小更有利地缩放。相比之下，二进制歧视通常与模仿学习非常类似地执行和缩放。最后，我们研究了一种“偏好模型预训练阶段的培训阶段，其目的是在对人偏好的芬明时提高样本效率。

人工智能的最新趋势是将验证的模型用于语言和视觉任务，这些模型已经实现了非凡的表现，但也令人困惑。因此，以各种方式探索这些模型的能力对该领域至关重要。在本文中，我们探讨了模型的可靠性，在其中我们将可靠的模型定义为一个不仅可以实现强大的预测性能，而且在许多涉及不确定性（例如选择性预测，开放式设置识别）的决策任务上，在许多决策任务上表现出色，而且表现良好。强大的概括（例如，准确性和适当的评分规则，例如在分布数据集中和分发数据集上的对数可能性）和适应性（例如，主动学习，几乎没有射击不确定性）。我们设计了40个数据集的10种任务类型，以评估视觉和语言域上可靠性的不同方面。为了提高可靠性，我们分别开发了VIT-PLEX和T5-PLEX，分别针对视觉和语言方式扩展了大型模型。 PLEX极大地改善了跨可靠性任务的最先进，并简化了传统协议，因为它可以改善开箱即用的性能，并且不需要设计分数或为每个任务调整模型。我们演示了高达1B参数的模型尺寸的缩放效果，并预处理数据集大小最多4B示例。我们还展示了PLEX在具有挑战性的任务上的功能，包括零射门的开放式识别，主动学习和对话语言理解中的不确定性。

扩展语言模型已被证明可以预测提高各种下游任务的性能和样本效率。相反，本文讨论了一种不可预测的现象，我们将其称为大语言模型的新兴能力。如果在较小的模型中不存在，而是在较大的模型中存在，那么我们认为它可以突然出现。因此，不仅可以通过推断较小模型的性能来预测紧急能力。这种出现的存在意味着额外的扩展可以进一步扩大语言模型的能力范围。

While the Transformer architecture has become the de-facto standard for natural language processing tasks, its applications to computer vision remain limited. In vision, attention is either applied in conjunction with convolutional networks, or used to replace certain components of convolutional networks while keeping their overall structure in place. We show that this reliance on CNNs is not necessary and a pure transformer applied directly to sequences of image patches can perform very well on image classification tasks. When pre-trained on large amounts of data and transferred to multiple mid-sized or small image recognition benchmarks (ImageNet, CIFAR-100, VTAB, etc.), Vision Transformer (ViT) attains excellent results compared to state-of-the-art convolutional networks while requiring substantially fewer computational resources to train. 1

稀疏的专家模型是一个三十年来的概念，作为深度学习中流行的建筑。这类体系结构包括专家的混合物，交换变压器，路由网络，基础层等，所有这些都以一个统一的想法，即每个示例都由参数的一个子集进行。通过这样做，稀疏度将参数计数与每个示例的计算分解，从而允许使用极大但有效的模型。最终的模型显示了各种领域的显着改善，例如自然语言处理，计算机视觉和语音识别。我们回顾了稀疏专家模型的概念，提供了对常见算法的基本描述，将深度学习时代的进步进行上下文化，并通过突出未来工作的领域来结束。

Transfer of pre-trained representations improves sample efficiency and simplifies hyperparameter tuning when training deep neural networks for vision. We revisit the paradigm of pre-training on large supervised datasets and fine-tuning the model on a target task. We scale up pre-training, and propose a simple recipe that we call Big Transfer (BiT). By combining a few carefully selected components, and transferring using a simple heuristic, we achieve strong performance on over 20 datasets. BiT performs well across a surprisingly wide range of data regimes -from 1 example per class to 1 M total examples. BiT achieves 87.5% top-1 accuracy on ILSVRC-2012, 99.4% on CIFAR-10, and 76.3% on the 19 task Visual Task Adaptation Benchmark (VTAB). On small datasets, BiT attains 76.8% on ILSVRC-2012 with 10 examples per class, and 97.0% on CIFAR-10 with 10 examples per class. We conduct detailed analysis of the main components that lead to high transfer performance.

专家层（MOES）的混合物通过条件计算实现语言模型的高效缩放。本文提出了一个详细的实证研究，自回归鞋语言模型与广泛的设置中的密集模型相比：在域外语言建模，零和少量射击和全部微调。除了微调外，我们发现Moes基本上更加计算效率。在更适度的培训预算下，MOES可以使用$ \ SIM值4倍的计算，符合密集模型的性能。该差距在比例下变窄，但我们最大的MOE模型（1.1T参数）始终如一地优于计算等效的密集模型（6.7b参数）。总体而言，这种表现差距在任务和域中有很大差异，表明MOE和密集模型以不值得研究的方式概括不同的方式。我们使我们的代码和模型公开可用于研究使用。

Generative AI has matured to a point where large-scale models can generate text that seems indistinguishable from human-written text and remarkably photorealistic images. Automatically measuring how close the distribution of generated data is to the target real data distribution is a key step in diagnosing existing models and developing better models. We present MAUVE, a family of comparison measures between pairs of distributions such as those encountered in the generative modeling of text or images. These scores are statistical summaries of divergence frontiers capturing two types of errors in generative modeling. We explore four approaches to statistically estimate these scores: vector quantization, non-parametric estimation, classifier-based estimation, and parametric Gaussian approximations. We provide statistical bounds for the vector quantization approach. Empirically, we find that the proposed scores paired with a range of $f$-divergences and statistical estimation methods can quantify the gaps between the distributions of human-written text and those of modern neural language models by correlating with human judgments and identifying known properties of the generated texts. We conclude the paper by demonstrating its applications to other AI domains and discussing practical recommendations.

当我们扩大数据集，模型尺寸和培训时间时，深入学习方法的能力中存在越来越多的经验证据。尽管有一些关于这些资源如何调节统计能力的说法，但对它们对模型培训的计算问题的影响知之甚少。这项工作通过学习$ k $ -sparse $ n $ bits的镜头进行了探索，这是一个构成理论计算障碍的规范性问题。在这种情况下，我们发现神经网络在扩大数据集大小和运行时间时会表现出令人惊讶的相变。特别是，我们从经验上证明，通过标准培训，各种体系结构以$ n^{o（k）} $示例学习稀疏的平等，而损失（和错误）曲线在$ n^{o（k）}后突然下降。 $迭代。这些积极的结果几乎匹配已知的SQ下限，即使没有明确的稀疏性先验。我们通过理论分析阐明了这些现象的机制：我们发现性能的相变不到SGD“在黑暗中绊倒”，直到它找到了隐藏的特征集（自然算法也以$ n^中的方式运行{o（k）} $ time）;取而代之的是，我们表明SGD逐渐扩大了人口梯度的傅立叶差距。