我们介绍内核变薄,更有效地压缩了一个新的程序,而不是i.i.d. \采样或标准变薄。给定合适的再现内核$ \ mathbf {k} $和$ \ mathcal {o}(n ^ 2)$ time,内核变薄将$ n $ thepoint近似压缩为$ \ mathbb {p} $ to to $ \ sqrt {n} $ - 点近似与相关的再现内核希尔伯特空间相比的可比最坏情况集成错误。具有高概率,集成错误中的最大差异是$ \ mathcal {o} _d(n ^ { - 1/2} \ sqrt {\ log n})$,用于紧凑地支持$ \ mathbb {p} $和$ \ mathcal {o} _d(n ^ { - \ frac {1} {2}}(\ log n)^ {(d + 1)/ 2} \ sqrt {\ log \ log n})$ for子指数$ \ $ \ mathbb {r} ^ d $上的mathbb {p} $。相反,来自$ \ mathbb {p} $ \ oomega(n ^ { - 1/4})$ Integration错误的平等大小。我们的子指数保证类似于统一$ \ mathbb {p} $ on $ [0,1] ^ d $的典型准蒙特卡洛错误速率,但适用于$ \ mathbb {r} ^ d $和a的常规发行版广泛的常见内核。我们使用我们的结果推导出Gaussian,Mat \'ern和B样曲线内部的显式非渐近最大平均差异界限,并提出了两个渐晕,说明了内核变薄的实际益处,而\采样和标准马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗稀疏,尺寸$ d = 2美元到100美元。
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Dwivedi和Mackey(2021)的核细化(kt)算法(2021)通过瞄准再现内核希尔伯特空间(RKHS)来更有效地压缩概率分布,并且通过瞄准再现内核Hilbert空间(RKHS)并利用较小的平方根根内核。在这里,我们提供了四种改进。首先,我们表明KT直接应用于目标RKHS,对任何内核,任何分布和RKHS中的任何固定功能都没有收益,无维保证。其次,我们表明,对于像高斯,反向多资本和SINC等分析核,目标KT承认最大平均差异(MMD)的保证与平方根KT相当的保证,而无需明确地使用平方根内核。第三,我们证明KT与分数电源内核产生了更好的Monte-Carlo MMD保证非平滑内核,如Laplace和Mat'ern,没有方形根源。第四,我们建立了kt应用于目标和电源内核的总和(我们呼叫kt +的程序)同时继承了Power Kt的改进的MMD保证和目标KT的更严格的各个功能保证。在我们的目标KT和KT +的实验中,我们目睹了甚至以100美元的尺寸,并且在压缩挑战微分方程后面时,我们目睹了整合误差的显着改进。
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在分发压缩中,一个目标是使用少量代表点准确地总结$ \ mathbb {p} $。近乎最佳的稀释程序通过从马尔可夫链中的$ n $积分来实现这一目标,并使用$ \ widetilde {\ mathcal {o}}识别$ \ sqrt {n} $ points(1 / sqrt {n})$差异$ \ mathbb {p} $。不幸的是,这些算法患有样本大小$ N $的二次或超级二次运行时。为了解决这一缺陷,我们介绍了一种简单的元过程,用于加速任何细化算法,同时遭遇最多为4美元的次数为4美元。与DWivedi和Mackey的二次时间内核半核节点和内核变薄算法相结合(2021),Compress ++以$ \ mathcal {o}提供$ \ sqrt {n} $ points(\ sqrt {\ log n / n})$ Integration error和monte-monte-carlo在$ \ mathcal {o}中的最大意义差异差异(n \ log ^ 3 n)$ time和$ \ mathcal {o}(\ sqrt {n} \ log ^ 2 n)$空间。此外,Compress ++享受相同的近线性运行时给出任何二次时间输入并通过平方根数减少超级二次算法的运行时间。在我们的基准测试中,具有高维蒙特卡罗样本和马尔可夫链瞄准具有挑战性的微分方程后海底,压缩++匹配或几乎匹配其输入算法的准确性在较少时间的时间顺序。
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我们研究了随机近似程序,以便基于观察来自ergodic Markov链的长度$ n $的轨迹来求近求解$ d -dimension的线性固定点方程。我们首先表现出$ t _ {\ mathrm {mix}} \ tfrac {n}} \ tfrac {n}} \ tfrac {d}} \ tfrac {d} {n} $的非渐近性界限。$ t _ {\ mathrm {mix $是混合时间。然后,我们证明了一种在适当平均迭代序列上的非渐近实例依赖性,具有匹配局部渐近最小的限制的领先术语,包括对参数$的敏锐依赖(d,t _ {\ mathrm {mix}}) $以高阶术语。我们将这些上限与非渐近Minimax的下限补充,该下限是建立平均SA估计器的实例 - 最优性。我们通过Markov噪声的政策评估导出了这些结果的推导 - 覆盖了所有$ \ lambda \中的TD($ \ lambda $)算法,以便[0,1)$ - 和线性自回归模型。我们的实例依赖性表征为HyperParameter调整的细粒度模型选择程序的设计开放了门(例如,在运行TD($ \ Lambda $)算法时选择$ \ lambda $的值)。
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Quantifying the deviation of a probability distribution is challenging when the target distribution is defined by a density with an intractable normalizing constant. The kernel Stein discrepancy (KSD) was proposed to address this problem and has been applied to various tasks including diagnosing approximate MCMC samplers and goodness-of-fit testing for unnormalized statistical models. This article investigates a convergence control property of the diffusion kernel Stein discrepancy (DKSD), an instance of the KSD proposed by Barp et al. (2019). We extend the result of Gorham and Mackey (2017), which showed that the KSD controls the bounded-Lipschitz metric, to functions of polynomial growth. Specifically, we prove that the DKSD controls the integral probability metric defined by a class of pseudo-Lipschitz functions, a polynomial generalization of Lipschitz functions. We also provide practical sufficient conditions on the reproducing kernel for the stated property to hold. In particular, we show that the DKSD detects non-convergence in moments with an appropriate kernel.
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最大平均差异(MMD)(例如内核Stein差异(KSD))已成为广泛应用的中心,包括假设测试,采样器选择,分布近似和变异推断。在每种情况下,这些基于内核的差异度量都需要(i)(i)将目标p与其他概率度量分开,甚至(ii)控制弱收敛到P。在本文中,我们得出了新的足够和必要的条件,以确保(i) (ii)。对于可分开的度量空间上的MMD,我们表征了那些将BOCHNER嵌入量度分开的内核,并引入了简单条件,以将所有措施用无限的内核分开,并控制与有界内核的收敛。我们在$ \ mathbb {r}^d $上使用这些结果来实质性地扩大了KSD分离和收敛控制的已知条件,并开发了已知的第一个KSD,以恰好将弱收敛到P。我们的假设检验,测量和改善样本质量以及用Stein变异梯度下降进行抽样的结果。
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我们提出了一种统一的技术,用于顺序估计分布之间的凸面分歧,包括内核最大差异等积分概率度量,$ \ varphi $ - 像Kullback-Leibler发散,以及最佳运输成本,例如Wassersein距离的权力。这是通过观察到经验凸起分歧(部分有序)反向半角分离的实现来实现的,而可交换过滤耦合,其具有这些方法的最大不等式。这些技术似乎是对置信度序列和凸分流的现有文献的互补和强大的补充。我们构建一个离线到顺序设备,将各种现有的离线浓度不等式转换为可以连续监测的时间均匀置信序列,在任意停止时间提供有效的测试或置信区间。得到的顺序边界仅在相应的固定时间范围内支付迭代对数价格,保留对问题参数的相同依赖性(如适用的尺寸或字母大小)。这些结果也适用于更一般的凸起功能,如负差分熵,实证过程的高度和V型统计。
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广义贝叶斯推理使用损失函数而不是可能性的先前信仰更新,因此可以用于赋予鲁棒性,以防止可能的错误规范的可能性。在这里,我们认为广泛化的贝叶斯推论斯坦坦差异作为损失函数的损失,由应用程序的可能性含有难治性归一化常数。在这种情况下,斯坦因差异来避免归一化恒定的评估,并产生封闭形式或使用标准马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗的通用后出版物。在理论层面上,我们显示了一致性,渐近的正常性和偏见 - 稳健性,突出了这些物业如何受到斯坦因差异的选择。然后,我们提供关于一系列棘手分布的数值实验,包括基于内核的指数家庭模型和非高斯图形模型的应用。
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利用启发式来评估收敛性和压缩马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗的输出可以在生产的经验逼近时是次优。通常,许多初始状态归因于“燃烧”并移除,而链条的其余部分是“变薄”,如果还需要压缩。在本文中,我们考虑回顾性地从样本路径中选择固定基数的状态的问题,使得由其经验分布提供的近似接近最佳。提出了一种基于核心稳定性差异的贪婪最小化的新方法,这适用于需要重压力的问题。理论结果保障方法的一致性及其有效性在常微分方程的参数推理的具体背景下证明了该效果。软件可在Python,R和Matlab中的Stein细化包中提供。
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We study non-parametric estimation of the value function of an infinite-horizon $\gamma$-discounted Markov reward process (MRP) using observations from a single trajectory. We provide non-asymptotic guarantees for a general family of kernel-based multi-step temporal difference (TD) estimates, including canonical $K$-step look-ahead TD for $K = 1, 2, \ldots$ and the TD$(\lambda)$ family for $\lambda \in [0,1)$ as special cases. Our bounds capture its dependence on Bellman fluctuations, mixing time of the Markov chain, any mis-specification in the model, as well as the choice of weight function defining the estimator itself, and reveal some delicate interactions between mixing time and model mis-specification. For a given TD method applied to a well-specified model, its statistical error under trajectory data is similar to that of i.i.d. sample transition pairs, whereas under mis-specification, temporal dependence in data inflates the statistical error. However, any such deterioration can be mitigated by increased look-ahead. We complement our upper bounds by proving minimax lower bounds that establish optimality of TD-based methods with appropriately chosen look-ahead and weighting, and reveal some fundamental differences between value function estimation and ordinary non-parametric regression.
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近似消息传递(AMP)是解决高维统计问题的有效迭代范式。但是,当迭代次数超过$ o \ big(\ frac {\ log n} {\ log log \ log \ log n} \时big)$(带有$ n $问题维度)。为了解决这一不足,本文开发了一个非吸附框架,用于理解峰值矩阵估计中的AMP。基于AMP更新的新分解和可控的残差项,我们布置了一个分析配方,以表征在存在独立初始化的情况下AMP的有限样本行为,该过程被进一步概括以进行光谱初始化。作为提出的分析配方的两个具体后果:(i)求解$ \ mathbb {z} _2 $同步时,我们预测了频谱初始化AMP的行为,最高为$ o \ big(\ frac {n} {\ mathrm {\ mathrm { poly} \ log n} \ big)$迭代,表明该算法成功而无需随后的细化阶段(如最近由\ citet {celentano2021local}推测); (ii)我们表征了稀疏PCA中AMP的非反应性行为(在尖刺的Wigner模型中),以广泛的信噪比。
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Over the last decade, an approach that has gained a lot of popularity to tackle non-parametric testing problems on general (i.e., non-Euclidean) domains is based on the notion of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embedding of probability distributions. The main goal of our work is to understand the optimality of two-sample tests constructed based on this approach. First, we show that the popular MMD (maximum mean discrepancy) two-sample test is not optimal in terms of the separation boundary measured in Hellinger distance. Second, we propose a modification to the MMD test based on spectral regularization by taking into account the covariance information (which is not captured by the MMD test) and prove the proposed test to be minimax optimal with a smaller separation boundary than that achieved by the MMD test. Third, we propose an adaptive version of the above test which involves a data-driven strategy to choose the regularization parameter and show the adaptive test to be almost minimax optimal up to a logarithmic factor. Moreover, our results hold for the permutation variant of the test where the test threshold is chosen elegantly through the permutation of the samples. Through numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world data, we demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed test in comparison to the MMD test.
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在因果推理和强盗文献中,基于观察数据的线性功能估算线性功能的问题是规范的。我们分析了首先估计治疗效果函数的广泛的两阶段程序,然后使用该数量来估计线性功能。我们证明了此类过程的均方误差上的非反应性上限:这些边界表明,为了获得非反应性最佳程序,应在特定加权$ l^2 $中最大程度地估算治疗效果的误差。 -规范。我们根据该加权规范的约束回归分析了两阶段的程序,并通过匹配非轴突局部局部最小值下限,在有限样品中建立了实例依赖性最优性。这些结果表明,除了取决于渐近效率方差之外,最佳的非质子风险除了取决于样本量支持的最富有函数类别的真实结果函数与其近似类别之间的加权规范距离。
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在负面的感知问题中,我们给出了$ n $数据点$({\ boldsymbol x} _i,y_i)$,其中$ {\ boldsymbol x} _i $是$ d $ -densional vector和$ y_i \ in \ { + 1,-1 \} $是二进制标签。数据不是线性可分离的,因此我们满足自己的内容,以找到最大的线性分类器,具有最大的\ emph {否定}余量。换句话说,我们想找到一个单位常规矢量$ {\ boldsymbol \ theta} $,最大化$ \ min_ {i \ le n} y_i \ langle {\ boldsymbol \ theta},{\ boldsymbol x} _i \ rangle $ 。这是一个非凸优化问题(它相当于在Polytope中找到最大标准矢量),我们在两个随机模型下研究其典型属性。我们考虑比例渐近,其中$ n,d \ to \ idty $以$ n / d \ to \ delta $,并在最大边缘$ \ kappa _ {\ text {s}}(\ delta)上证明了上限和下限)$或 - 等效 - 在其逆函数$ \ delta _ {\ text {s}}(\ kappa)$。换句话说,$ \ delta _ {\ text {s}}(\ kappa)$是overparametization阈值:以$ n / d \ le \ delta _ {\ text {s}}(\ kappa) - \ varepsilon $一个分类器实现了消失的训练错误,具有高概率,而以$ n / d \ ge \ delta _ {\ text {s}}(\ kappa)+ \ varepsilon $。我们在$ \ delta _ {\ text {s}}(\ kappa)$匹配,以$ \ kappa \ to - \ idty $匹配。然后,我们分析了线性编程算法来查找解决方案,并表征相应的阈值$ \ delta _ {\ text {lin}}(\ kappa)$。我们观察插值阈值$ \ delta _ {\ text {s}}(\ kappa)$和线性编程阈值$ \ delta _ {\ text {lin {lin}}(\ kappa)$之间的差距,提出了行为的问题其他算法。
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通过梯度流优化平均平衡误差,研究了功能空间中神经网络的动态。我们认为,在underParameterized制度中,网络了解由与其特征值对应的率的神经切线内核(NTK)确定的整体运算符$ t_ {k ^ \ infty} $的特征功能。例如,对于SPENTE $ S ^ {D-1} $和旋转不变的权重分配的均匀分布式数据,$ t_ {k ^ \ infty} $的特征函数是球形谐波。我们的结果可以理解为描述interparameterized制度中的光谱偏压。证据使用“阻尼偏差”的概念,其中NTK物质对具有由于阻尼因子的发生而具有大特征值的特征的偏差。除了下公共条例的制度之外,阻尼偏差可用于跟踪过度分辨率设置中经验风险的动态,允许我们在文献中延长某些结果。我们得出结论,阻尼偏差在优化平方误差时提供了动态的简单和统一的视角。
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概率分布之间的差异措施,通常被称为统计距离,在概率理论,统计和机器学习中普遍存在。为了在估计这些距离的距离时,对维度的诅咒,最近的工作已经提出了通过带有高斯内核的卷积在测量的分布中平滑局部不规则性。通过该框架的可扩展性至高维度,我们研究了高斯平滑$ P $ -wassersein距离$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $的结构和统计行为,用于任意$ p \ GEQ 1 $。在建立$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $的基本度量和拓扑属性之后,我们探索$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)}(\ hat {\ mu} _n,\ mu)$,其中$ \ hat {\ mu} _n $是$ n $独立观察的实证分布$ \ mu $。我们证明$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $享受$ n ^ { - 1/2} $的参数经验融合速率,这对比$ n ^ { - 1 / d} $率对于未平滑的$ \ mathsf {w} _p $ why $ d \ geq 3 $。我们的证明依赖于控制$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $ by $ p $ th-sting spoollow sobolev restion $ \ mathsf {d} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $并导出限制$ \ sqrt {n} \,\ mathsf {d} _p ^ {(\ sigma)}(\ hat {\ mu} _n,\ mu)$,适用于所有尺寸$ d $。作为应用程序,我们提供了使用$ \ mathsf {w} _p ^ {(\ sigma)} $的两个样本测试和最小距离估计的渐近保证,使用$ p = 2 $的实验使用$ \ mathsf {d} _2 ^ {(\ sigma)} $。
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The kernel Maximum Mean Discrepancy~(MMD) is a popular multivariate distance metric between distributions that has found utility in two-sample testing. The usual kernel-MMD test statistic is a degenerate U-statistic under the null, and thus it has an intractable limiting distribution. Hence, to design a level-$\alpha$ test, one usually selects the rejection threshold as the $(1-\alpha)$-quantile of the permutation distribution. The resulting nonparametric test has finite-sample validity but suffers from large computational cost, since every permutation takes quadratic time. We propose the cross-MMD, a new quadratic-time MMD test statistic based on sample-splitting and studentization. We prove that under mild assumptions, the cross-MMD has a limiting standard Gaussian distribution under the null. Importantly, we also show that the resulting test is consistent against any fixed alternative, and when using the Gaussian kernel, it has minimax rate-optimal power against local alternatives. For large sample sizes, our new cross-MMD provides a significant speedup over the MMD, for only a slight loss in power.
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Network data are ubiquitous in modern machine learning, with tasks of interest including node classification, node clustering and link prediction. A frequent approach begins by learning an Euclidean embedding of the network, to which algorithms developed for vector-valued data are applied. For large networks, embeddings are learned using stochastic gradient methods where the sub-sampling scheme can be freely chosen. Despite the strong empirical performance of such methods, they are not well understood theoretically. Our work encapsulates representation methods using a subsampling approach, such as node2vec, into a single unifying framework. We prove, under the assumption that the graph is exchangeable, that the distribution of the learned embedding vectors asymptotically decouples. Moreover, we characterize the asymptotic distribution and provided rates of convergence, in terms of the latent parameters, which includes the choice of loss function and the embedding dimension. This provides a theoretical foundation to understand what the embedding vectors represent and how well these methods perform on downstream tasks. Notably, we observe that typically used loss functions may lead to shortcomings, such as a lack of Fisher consistency.
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找到模型概率密度的好方法是概率推断的关键。理想的模型应该能够简单地近似于概率,同时也与两个主要操作兼容:两个模型(产品规则)的乘法和相对于随机变量的子集(SUM规则)的边缘化。在这项工作中,我们表明最近提出的非负函数的正半明确(PSD)模型特别适用于此。特别是,我们表征了PSD模型的近似和泛化能力,显示它们享有强烈的理论保证。此外,我们表明我们可以通过矩阵操作以封闭形式的封闭形式有效地执行和产品规则,享受混合模型的相同多功能性。我们的结果为PSD模型应用于密度估计,决策理论和推理的方式开辟了途径。
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We study the problem of estimating the fixed point of a contractive operator defined on a separable Banach space. Focusing on a stochastic query model that provides noisy evaluations of the operator, we analyze a variance-reduced stochastic approximation scheme, and establish non-asymptotic bounds for both the operator defect and the estimation error, measured in an arbitrary semi-norm. In contrast to worst-case guarantees, our bounds are instance-dependent, and achieve the local asymptotic minimax risk non-asymptotically. For linear operators, contractivity can be relaxed to multi-step contractivity, so that the theory can be applied to problems like average reward policy evaluation problem in reinforcement learning. We illustrate the theory via applications to stochastic shortest path problems, two-player zero-sum Markov games, as well as policy evaluation and $Q$-learning for tabular Markov decision processes.
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