共同检测和隔离Covid-19患者对于成功实施缓解策略并最终遏制疾病扩散至关重要。由于在每个国家 /地区进行的每日共同测试数量有限,因此模拟COVID-19的扩散以及目前每种缓解策略的潜在影响仍然是管理医疗保健系统和指导决策者的最有效方法之一。我们介绍了Covidhunter,这是一种灵活而准确的Covid-19爆发模拟模型,评估了当前适用于该地区的缓解措施,可预测Covid-19统计数据(每日案件,住院和死亡人数),并就何种建议提供建议。力量即将进行的缓解措施应该是。 Covidhunter的关键思想是通过模拟考虑到外部因素的影响,例如环境条件(例如气候,温度,湿度,湿度),关注的不同变体,疫苗接种率和缓解措施。 Covidhunter以瑞士为案例研究,估计我们正在经历一场致命的新浪潮,该浪潮将于2022年1月26日达到顶峰,这与我们2020年2月的浪潮非常相似。决策者只有一个选择是为了增加30天的当前缓解措施的强度。与现有模型不同,Covidhunter模型可以准确监视,并预测COVID-19造成的病例,住院和死亡人数。我们的模型可以灵活地进行配置,并且可以易于修改,以在不同的环境条件和缓解措施下对不同方案进行建模。我们在https://github.com/cmu-safari/covidhunter上发布了covidhunter实现的源代码。
translated by 谷歌翻译
背景:COVID-19患者的早期检测和隔离对于成功实施缓解策略并最终遏制疾病扩散至关重要。由于在每个国家 /地区进行的每日共同测试数量有限,因此模拟COVID-19的扩散以及目前每种缓解策略的潜在影响仍然是管理医疗保健系统和指导决策者的最有效方法之一。方法:我们介绍了Covidhunter,这是一种灵活而准确的Covid-19爆发模拟模型,该模型评估了应用于区域的当前缓解措施,并提供有关即将进行的缓解措施的强度的建议。 Covidhunter的关键思想是通过模拟考虑到外部因素的影响,例如环境条件(例如气候,温度,湿度,湿度)和缓解措施。结果:使用瑞士作为案例研究,Covidhunter估计,如果政策制定者放宽30天的缓解措施50%,那么医院病床的日常容量和每日死亡人数平均每天的死亡人数平均增加了5.1倍,则会增加5.1倍谁可能会占用ICU床和呼吸机一段时间。与现有模型不同,Covidhunter模型可以准确监视,并预测COVID-19造成的病例,住院和死亡人数。我们的模型可以灵活地配置,并且可以易于修改,以在不同的环境条件和缓解措施下对不同方案进行建模。可用性:我们在https://github.com/cmu-safari/covidhunter上发布了covidhunter实现的源代码,并展示如何在任何情况下灵活配置我们的模型,并轻松地将其扩展为不同的度量和条件。
translated by 谷歌翻译
语言模型既展示了定量的改进,又展示了新的定性功能,随着规模的增加。尽管它们具有潜在的变革性影响,但这些新能力的特征却很差。为了为未来的研究提供信息,为破坏性的新模型能力做准备,并改善社会有害的效果,至关重要的是,我们必须了解目前和近乎未来的能力和语言模型的局限性。为了应对这一挑战,我们介绍了超越模仿游戏基准(Big Bench)。 Big Bench目前由204个任务组成,由132家机构的442位作者贡献。任务主题是多样的,从语言学,儿童发展,数学,常识性推理,生物学,物理学,社会偏见,软件开发等等。 Big-Bench专注于被认为超出当前语言模型的功能的任务。我们评估了OpenAI的GPT型号,Google内部密集变压器体系结构和大型基础上的开关稀疏变压器的行为,跨越了数百万到数十亿个参数。此外,一个人类专家评估者团队执行了所有任务,以提供强大的基准。研究结果包括:模型性能和校准都随规模改善,但绝对的术语(以及与评估者的性能相比);在模型类中的性能非常相似,尽管带有稀疏性。逐渐和预测的任务通常涉及大量知识或记忆成分,而在临界规模上表现出“突破性”行为的任务通常涉及多个步骤或组成部分或脆性指标;社交偏见通常会随着含糊不清的环境而随着规模而增加,但这可以通过提示来改善。
translated by 谷歌翻译
迄今为止,迄今为止,众所周知,对广泛的互补临床相关任务进行了全面比较了医学图像登记方法。这限制了采用研究进展,以防止竞争方法的公平基准。在过去五年内已经探讨了许多新的学习方法,但优化,建筑或度量战略的问题非常适合仍然是开放的。 Learn2reg涵盖了广泛的解剖学:脑,腹部和胸部,方式:超声波,CT,MRI,群体:患者内部和患者内部和监督水平。我们为3D注册的培训和验证建立了较低的入境障碍,这帮助我们从20多个独特的团队中汇编了65多个单独的方法提交的结果。我们的互补度量集,包括稳健性,准确性,合理性和速度,使得能够独特地位了解当前的医学图像登记现状。进一步分析监督问题的转移性,偏见和重要性,主要是基于深度学习的方法的优越性,并将新的研究方向开放到利用GPU加速的常规优化的混合方法。
translated by 谷歌翻译
放射线学使用定量医学成像特征来预测临床结果。目前,在新的临床应用中,必须通过启发式试验和纠正过程手动完成各种可用选项的最佳放射组方法。在这项研究中,我们提出了一个框架,以自动优化每个应用程序的放射线工作流程的构建。为此,我们将放射线学作为模块化工作流程,并为每个组件包含大量的常见算法。为了优化每个应用程序的工作流程,我们使用随机搜索和结合使用自动化机器学习。我们在十二个不同的临床应用中评估我们的方法,从而在曲线下导致以下区域:1)脂肪肉瘤(0.83); 2)脱粘型纤维瘤病(0.82); 3)原发性肝肿瘤(0.80); 4)胃肠道肿瘤(0.77); 5)结直肠肝转移(0.61); 6)黑色素瘤转移(0.45); 7)肝细胞癌(0.75); 8)肠系膜纤维化(0.80); 9)前列腺癌(0.72); 10)神经胶质瘤(0.71); 11)阿尔茨海默氏病(0.87);和12)头颈癌(0.84)。我们表明,我们的框架具有比较人类专家的竞争性能,优于放射线基线,并且表现相似或优于贝叶斯优化和更高级的合奏方法。最后,我们的方法完全自动优化了放射线工作流的构建,从而简化了在新应用程序中对放射线生物标志物的搜索。为了促进可重复性和未来的研究,我们公开发布了六个数据集,框架的软件实施以及重现这项研究的代码。
translated by 谷歌翻译
Making histopathology image classifiers robust to a wide range of real-world variability is a challenging task. Here, we describe a candidate deep learning solution for the Mitosis Domain Generalization Challenge 2022 (MIDOG) to address the problem of generalization for mitosis detection in images of hematoxylin-eosin-stained histology slides under high variability (scanner, tissue type and species variability). Our approach consists in training a rotation-invariant deep learning model using aggressive data augmentation with a training set enriched with hard negative examples and automatically selected negative examples from the unlabeled part of the challenge dataset. To optimize the performance of our models, we investigated a hard negative mining regime search procedure that lead us to train our best model using a subset of image patches representing 19.6% of our training partition of the challenge dataset. Our candidate model ensemble achieved a F1-score of .697 on the final test set after automated evaluation on the challenge platform, achieving the third best overall score in the MIDOG 2022 Challenge.
translated by 谷歌翻译
Supervised Question Answering systems (QA systems) rely on domain-specific human-labeled data for training. Unsupervised QA systems generate their own question-answer training pairs, typically using secondary knowledge sources to achieve this outcome. Our approach (called PIE-QG) uses Open Information Extraction (OpenIE) to generate synthetic training questions from paraphrased passages and uses the question-answer pairs as training data for a language model for a state-of-the-art QA system based on BERT. Triples in the form of <subject, predicate, object> are extracted from each passage, and questions are formed with subjects (or objects) and predicates while objects (or subjects) are considered as answers. Experimenting on five extractive QA datasets demonstrates that our technique achieves on-par performance with existing state-of-the-art QA systems with the benefit of being trained on an order of magnitude fewer documents and without any recourse to external reference data sources.
translated by 谷歌翻译
While the capabilities of autonomous systems have been steadily improving in recent years, these systems still struggle to rapidly explore previously unknown environments without the aid of GPS-assisted navigation. The DARPA Subterranean (SubT) Challenge aimed to fast track the development of autonomous exploration systems by evaluating their performance in real-world underground search-and-rescue scenarios. Subterranean environments present a plethora of challenges for robotic systems, such as limited communications, complex topology, visually-degraded sensing, and harsh terrain. The presented solution enables long-term autonomy with minimal human supervision by combining a powerful and independent single-agent autonomy stack, with higher level mission management operating over a flexible mesh network. The autonomy suite deployed on quadruped and wheeled robots was fully independent, freeing the human supervision to loosely supervise the mission and make high-impact strategic decisions. We also discuss lessons learned from fielding our system at the SubT Final Event, relating to vehicle versatility, system adaptability, and re-configurable communications.
translated by 谷歌翻译
While the brain connectivity network can inform the understanding and diagnosis of developmental dyslexia, its cause-effect relationships have not yet enough been examined. Employing electroencephalography signals and band-limited white noise stimulus at 4.8 Hz (prosodic-syllabic frequency), we measure the phase Granger causalities among channels to identify differences between dyslexic learners and controls, thereby proposing a method to calculate directional connectivity. As causal relationships run in both directions, we explore three scenarios, namely channels' activity as sources, as sinks, and in total. Our proposed method can be used for both classification and exploratory analysis. In all scenarios, we find confirmation of the established right-lateralized Theta sampling network anomaly, in line with the temporal sampling framework's assumption of oscillatory differences in the Theta and Gamma bands. Further, we show that this anomaly primarily occurs in the causal relationships of channels acting as sinks, where it is significantly more pronounced than when only total activity is observed. In the sink scenario, our classifier obtains 0.84 and 0.88 accuracy and 0.87 and 0.93 AUC for the Theta and Gamma bands, respectively.
translated by 谷歌翻译
Vocal Bursts -- short, non-speech vocalizations that convey emotions, such as laughter, cries, sighs, moans, and groans -- are an often-overlooked aspect of speech emotion recognition, but an important aspect of human vocal communication. One barrier to study of these interesting vocalizations is a lack of large datasets. I am pleased to introduce the EmoGator dataset, which consists of 32,040 samples from 365 speakers, 16.91 hours of audio; each sample classified into one of 30 distinct emotion categories by the speaker. Several different approaches to construct classifiers to identify emotion categories will be discussed, and directions for future research will be suggested. Data set is available for download from https://github.com/fredbuhl/EmoGator.
translated by 谷歌翻译